The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is keeping a watchful eye on a well-defined tropical wave projected to form a tropical depression off Florida’s coastline this weekend. The tropical wave is primed to pass over Cuba on Friday, navigating through the Straits of Florida—the J-shaped maritime passage separating the Florida Keys and Cuba—by Friday night or early Saturday.
According to Friday morning updates from the NHC, environmental factors appear propitious for further development of this system, indicating a likely formation of a tropical depression over the Straits of Florida or in the eastern parts of the Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Peninsula over the weekend. As a cautionary response, tropical storm watches or warnings may be put in place for parts of Florida later in the day.
Even if a tropical depression does not form, the region expects to experience heavy rainfall leading to possible flash floods across Florida, Cuba, and The Bahamas throughout the weekend. In their forecast released on Friday morning, the NHC estimated the likelihood of a tropical cyclone’s formation in the next 48 hours to be medium — around 60% and an 80% probability for formation within the next week.
To collect crucial data, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has scheduled a Hurricane Hunter aircraft to probe the storm system later on Friday if necessary.
For those unfamiliar with the term, a tropical wave is a meteorological nomenclature denoting an elongated area of low pressure or cyclonic curvature maximum, traveling from east to west across the tropics as defined by the National Weather Service. Also noted as an easterly wave, these formations can potentially lead to the birth of a full-blown tropical storm.
Under circumstances where the brewing storm over the Caribbean, christened Invest 97L, manages to generate winds of 39mph or more, the system will be titled ‘Tropical Storm Debby,’ emerging as the fourth named storm of an expectedly hyperactive 2024 Atlantic hurricane season.
As a reminder for all, the Atlantic hurricane season extends from June 1 till November 30 every year. The peak period historically falls around September 10, with late August through mid-October typically experiencing the most activity per the Hurricane Center’s report.
The potential for extreme weather conditions is a vital reminder for citizens to prioritize preparedness, regularly review emergency plans, and stay updated on local weather notifications.
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