New Michigan Poll Reveals Trump-Harris Election Race Status Following Biden’s Decision
A fresh state-wide poll conducted in Michigan reveals a tight race between Vice President Kamala Harris and Former President Donald Trump for the presidential seat. The survey comes in the immediate aftermath of President Joe Biden‘s decision to step aside for the forthcoming 2024 presidential election.
The Race for Presidency
The survey, carried out by WDIV/Detroit News between Monday and Wednesday shortly after Biden’s announcement, starkly reveals an even 41%-41% split in support for Harris and Trump. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is shown to capture 10% of the vote, while about 6% of voters remain undecided.
Although Harris is yet to receive an official nomination from the Democratic Party, she’s widely presumed to be their candidate given her strong backing from many significant party members.
Detailed Polling Results
The poll further breaks down support as follows: Kamala Harris at 41.6%, Donald Trump at 41.3%, Robert F Kennedy Jr. at 9.7%, Chase Oliver at 0.7%, Jill Stein at 0.5%, and a small fraction, 0.3%, named another candidate of choice.
Moreover, Kennedy holds a marginal one-point lead among independent voters, with around 18% remaining undecided. These figures underscore the highly competitive landscape of the upcoming presidential election.
Voting Tendencies Among Men and Women
Notably, the latest polling data shows stark gender differences. Trump gains a substantial lead among men at 50.3%, a 15% lead over Harris. Meanwhile, among women voters, Harris leads at 47.4%, with a 14.4% lead over Trump. This gendered disparity is further accentuated with Kennedy acquiring 8% of men’s votes and 11.2% of women’s votes.
Views among African American Voters
Among African American voters, the support for Harris significantly outweighs other candidates. A substantial percentage, 82.1%, back Harris, while Kennedy garners 11.5% support. Interestingly, no black voters in this survey expressed support for Trump.
Voter Motivation Following Biden’s Decision
The survey additionally reveals that the majority of Michigan voters, specifically 88.3%, agree with Biden’s decision to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race, with only 6.5% disagreeing.
The poll also explored how Biden’s decision might impact voter motivation for the November elections. Results reveal that 25.6% of voters feel more motivated to vote, a meager 0.7% feel less motivated, and 73.2% report no impact on their motivation.
Biden’s decision appears to be particularly motivating for specific demographic groups such as young voters aged 18-29, African American voters, and strong Democratic voters. Specifically, 46.4% of voters aged 18-29, 38.5% of African American voters, and 36.6% of strong Democratic voters reported feeling an increased motivation to vote following Biden’s announcement.
Poll Methodology
This statewide survey was conducted by The Glengariff Group, Inc. It encompassed a sample size of 600 likely general election voters, drawn from both landline telephone (17.8%) and cell phone (82.2%) respondents, ensuring a broad and representative sampling. The survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and the Detroit News, and has a margin of error of +/-4.0% and a 95% level of confidence.
